Showing posts with label japan. Show all posts
Showing posts with label japan. Show all posts

Wednesday, March 19, 2008

U.S. Liquidity Trap

As pointed out by Paul Krugman on his blog, we may be quite close to a liquidity trap (read: Japan in 90s). The closing rates today for the 1 month and 3 month t-bills are 0.26 and 0.61 respectively. This leaves the Fed with little room to cut short term rates and at this point traditional monetary policy (open-market operations) essentially stops working. With a "slowing" economy and the financial markets having liquidity problems of their own (which is largely the reason t-bills have such low yields), this is quite a worrying sign.